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George W. Bush, Paul Wolfowitz and Dick Cheney just aren't of that caliber. Those fumbling soothsayers told the American people and the world how the Iraqi people would embrace the "liberating" American forces, covering the soldiers with flowers, wetting their faces with kisses after they had won the war and settled down to occupational oil-stealing duties. Now it turned out that the flowers were more of the exploding device type and the kisses became more like slugs from AK47s. Suspicious individuals might believe that Bush & Co knew this all along -- they just lied -- but let's be generous and credit it to stupidity. The only ones who will write poems and symphonies for the "liberators" will be the new rulers, handpicked for obedience and corruptibility, by the invaders. Mr Ahmed Chalabi must be overwhelmed. Convicted criminals of his stature usually can't get a job even at McDonald's, much less as president. But it's nice work if you can get it and you can get it if you have backers who got it because they got it from friends in the Supreme Court. So far not only the future but also the present and the past are either eluding the American ruling junta, or else their combined intellectual capacity -- OR their combined personal integrity -- is below allowing for the correct description of reality. We can expect to hear the comments from Bush "the Sillier" in 2004 to be on the same level as those in the year gone by. Not one digit correct! So, as a service to all those who want to know what will really happen next year (and further on), here's a short glimpse. Out of necessity, details will not be given, so as not to induce investors to run and sell or buy certain stock, but the probability that in general the following things are going to happen can be estimated to be between 65.37% to 99.99% -- many predictions are sort of surgical swipes. Many of them will no doubt come true in 2004 but some others might take a few years longer. Some might even not come true! The predictions are conjecture but based, I hasten to add, on human and specifically American psychology, observed strong trends and previously demonstrated and solidly evidenced developments that show no signs of slowing down or reversing. Be the first to know!!
Don't follow CNN! Don't read CIA briefings!! Since much of the world follows US trends, voluntarily, indoctrinated by US movies and TV shows or forced by economic and military necessity (bribes and bombs), this will be mostly about America. Occasionally some other areas may be specifically mentioned. What happens in the US usually hits Europe and other places in the world with a delay of 10 to 20 years -- the speed depends on so many factors that it's impossible to determine each variable and its ultimate effect on a specific area. What is important to know is that nobody is safe; there's always a McDonald's or a FBI/CIA agent lurking somewhere in the shadows. Knowing the course America takes aids the strength of the resistance against it. The one factor that the greedy baddies always forget is that human pride, power and integrity still exist. Let's take it bit by bit like a pharma company swallows its competition. The Markets and Economy. In a number of big corporations some CEOs will fiddle the figures, massage the statistics and cook the books to secure a heretofore unheard of number of millions for themselves, and after delaying tactics (until all the courts are run by McDonald franchises) nobody will do hard time. The Dollar will continue its losing game against the Euro, thereby giving the world a glimmer of hope for the future as the printing of Dollars will no longer ensure American military superiority. More of world trade, including oil, will be done in Euro. The housing and loan bubbles will be close to bursting but will hold a little longer. Public attention to the disastrous economy will be diverted by patriotic speeches, flag waving and allegations that Gambia, Sudan and the Cayman Islands have weapons of mass destruction. The judicial and
penitentiary systems The Administration The deregulation of everything that limit eternal profits for major businesses will be speeded up and federal schemes, supposed to benefit the citizens, that somehow don't end up lining the pockets of industry, will be cunningly restructured. Jobs Agriculture Subsidies to agrobusiness continues to rise at the same speed that quality plummets and farmers lose their land to giant corporations. The last independent farmer in Iowa will be jailed for allowing a few of his sows to be raped by a runaway boar from a Monsanto site and coming down with pre-slaughtered turkeys. Health Religion CIA The administration, via the CIA, will continue to fund, arm and support 73 dictators that are considered "our kind of guy". (The new rules allowing CIA operatives to shoot anyone who looks suspicious or eat potato chips in movie theaters can not be mentioned due to national security!) Iraq A "democratic" new puppet government will be installed in 2004 and will have to be protected from the people for the foreseeable future as the electorate backing it will in reality be the Bush neocons only. Risk for a civil war builds up and the outbreak may come late 2004, timed to coincide with the American elections. Saddam Trial Wars Presidential elections
In the unlikely event, 30% against 70% chance, that all Bush's conjuring tricks will fail and the war on terror crumbles (Bin Laden goes public assuring 9-11 was all a silly mistake), there is a possibility that Howard Dean might win. The American public in general will see this as a major change. The world will see it as "Bush light" taking over and many countries will anyway speed up their efforts to get weapons of mass destruction because that's the only guarantee against American aggression whoever the president might be. The chance that a candidate working for the people and not corporations will live in the White House in 2005 is less than 0.027%. The Colonies Pakistan's dictator Musharraf will fall victim to the 23rd rebel attack and be replaced by some other military dictator willing to obey US dictates. Tony Blair will have to retire after overworking himself sucking up to the American president. One more of the British queen's corgis will fall victim to terrier attack by princess Anne's pitbull Dotty. CIA and British Intelligence will again fail to predict or prevent the attack. Luxemburg will buy large parts of Germany with all the money that rich Germans have stashed in its banks to avoid taxation. Major telecom companies all over Europe will admit to falsifying records. Five will go bust and CEOs will have disappeared together with 18-year old secretaries and 2.78 bn Euro. Intelligence levels in all countries with commercial TV will continue to fall at a rate that boggles the mind of those who don't watch TV. "New Europe" will ask itself where all the dollars are that Powell promised in small unmarked bills to get support for the Iraq adventure. They might get their dollars when the value falls a further 50% against the Euro. Costa Rica will introduce sharia law to protest against the worldwide war on everything Muslim. Will be bombed to sanity five weeks later. "Old Europe" will continue dismantling its welfare systems and give tax cuts to companies and the wealthy in a futile try to out-America the US. (Should it ever come close to succeeding, the US will out-America itself by reintroducing slavery, burning the constitution and abolishing education.) Rule Britannia, the old praise to British Empire, will finally be brought up to date and appropriately retitled Fool Britannia in honor of the puppet regime of Blair. Bornholm, a little island in the Baltic between Poland and Sweden, will declare its independence from Denmark and introduce the first state ruled by Newton's law of gravity. Global Forecast for 2004
and the future (that is bound to come true). And Possibly... A growing number of optimists searching for a peaceful and safe area will try to resettle in the next galaxy. Jerre Skog is a Swedish writer, musician and independent observer living in Germany. His writings, politics and satire, can be found on www.skog.de and comments are welcome at jerre@skog.de.
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