Mubarak’s Last Gambit: Manufacturing Chaos

There is a joke making the rounds in Egypt that Hosni Mubarak threatened to demonstrate in front of parliament and self-emulate himself if the Egyptian people refuse to step down and join the deposed Tunisian leader in Exile.

The octogenarian dictator is simply delusional if thinks he can hold onto power. By my estimates, he’ll be gone in a week or two – hopefully sooner. But before he gives up his throne, he means to dole out a severe dose of punishment to the 80 million ‘ingrates’ who have delegitimized his corruption infested regime.

Mubarak is a desperate and stubborn man. The disbanding of the police last Friday was a calculated attempt to manufacture chaos and terrorize the populace. It was supposed to be the perfect state crime. The police suddenly vanished abandoning even the prisons which are administered by the Ministry of Interior. With the gates thrown wide open, the criminal elements were let loose as the state controlled media started spreading false rumors of hysterical citizens being attacked in their homes. The crooks were joined by some members of the police force that were ‘on vacation.’ They obviously weren’t idiots. Instead of using the security void to attack apartments and homes, they targeted the national museum, upscale retailers, the gold market and malls.

Unfortunately for Mubarak, the Egyptian people disrupted the regime’s plan. All around the country, alert citizens immediately took control of security in their neighborhoods and within a few hours of the mysterious and still unexplained disappearance of the police, young men and old banded together to protect their families and their property. Defense committees were set up on virtually every block. It was a splendid show of community values and extremely effective. Put it this way – this was a bad week to be a burglar in Cairo.

The regime has yet to explain who gave the orders for the police to abandon their stations. When the plot fizzled, Mubarak fired Habib Adley, the interior minister and blamed the chaos on “foreign elements” – no doubt the diabolical Maltese Intelligence Agency working in coordination with Taiwanese drug cartels.

The objective of the government’s plot to foment chaos was to compel Egyptians to hide in their homes while “Daddy Mubarak” came to the rescue. The ensuing disorder was a great excuse to impose a curfew to disband the demonstrators in Tahrir Square and dissuade others from joining them. Mubarak and his henchmen might be creative but their attempt to spread panic was not exactly original. That’s pretty much what the American Army did when they invaded Iraq – they ordered the army and police to disband and unlocked the penitentiary gates.

A few days later millions of Egyptians ignored the curfew and took to the streets demanding that Mubarak step down. In Cairo alone, the crowd was estimated at a million plus and hundreds of thousands marched in Alexandria. Not a single policeman was there to ‘protect’ the peaceful demonstrators and there wasn’t a single casualty – not even a broken bottle. Demonstrators mingled freely with the army and even picked up the garbage. They had one basic demand – the immediate retirement of Hosni Mubarak.

But Mubarak wasn’t about to give up so easily. The next morning, ‘patriots’ from the disbanded police force, party loyalists and hired thugs started their own ‘demonstration’ and made their way to Tahrir square armed with clubs. They could have held a peaceful protest at some other location but they were hell bent on a violent confrontation. These ‘Hosnicrats’ were more or less the same elements that had intimidated voters and opposition candidates in the recent rigged parliamentary elections. Ominously, the Egyptian Army, which has so far played a neutral role, didn’t prevent Mubarak’s thugs from attacking the very same peaceful marchers that a day earlier had demonstrated that a million Egyptians could assemble and protest without throwing a single stone.

The night before, rumors of an organized attack by Mubarak’s mercenaries had circulated among the demonstrators camped out in Tahrir Square. Many decided to leave but those who stayed were determined not to be provoked. What followed was proof that the attacks in Tahrir Square were just another part of Mubarak’s plot to orchestrate chaos. The Army issued orders for both sides to clear the square and go home and refused to intervene to protect the anti-Mubarak protestors. As of this writing, dawn on Thursday, the Mubarak loyalists had started firing live ammo into the crowd. So far, eight demonstrators have been murdered and many more are wounded.

Mubarak despises his people more than they despise him. All he wants now is for his regime to survive and to restore a measure of ‘legitimacy’ and ‘stability’ – just enough to give his American patrons a fig leaf to allow Obama to turn a blind eye to what’s going down in Egypt. He now says he will step down at the end of his term and he promises to use his remaining time in office facilitating an orderly transition. The obvious danger is that he will also use the balance of his tenure to beef up his internal security apparatus, crack down on the opposition and roll out a red carpet for his party and his cronies to allow them to retain control by the time he leaves office.

At the very minimum, most Egyptians had expected Mubarak to make a conciliatory gesture and disband the National Assembly. Anyone who paid cursory attention to the last elections knows they were blatantly rigged; the National Democratic Party won something like 97% of the vote and virtually every seat in the chamber. The architects of the electoral fraud were absolutely shameless. The election was a farce and Mubarak and his cronies publicly flaunted their ability to fix the vote. There again, Mubarak didn’t care what Egyptians thought and neither did the Americans.

It takes a strong dose of repression and injustice to rile up a nation that abides by the law even when the laws are unjustly administered. If there is one thing all Egyptians fear more than a tyrant, it is chaos. And that’s precisely why Mubarak and his cronies are so determined to manufacture as much chaos as possible. The octogenarian dictator needs to be sent packing to Saudi Arabia before he causes more damage.

Ahmed Amr is the author of How to Steal a Billion Dollars – the Confessions of James Li. The initial draft is available free of charge on He can be reached at: Read other articles by Ahmed.

15 comments on this article so far ...

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  1. bozh said on February 3rd, 2011 at 12:10pm #

    a protest=powerlessness. army power=the only effective power. go and beg generals to help u.
    don’t make them afraid, doubtful, etc. instead, befriend them; give or promise them higher ranks, pensions, etc.
    and even this in the long run may not suffice if the scourge of personal supremacism-meritocracy remains.
    and it surely will remain if protesters only protest the rule of some supremacists and not against also religious and personal infallibility-all knowing, etc.

  2. mary said on February 3rd, 2011 at 1:48pm #

    Nice to see you are standing for your brothers and sisters in their hour of need. John Bunyan’s words from the Pilgrim’s Progress come to mind

    Who so beset him round with dismal stories
    Do but themselves confound—his strength the more is.
    No foes shall stay his might; though he with giants fight,
    He will make good his right ……

  3. bozh said on February 3rd, 2011 at 3:24pm #

    supremacism-religious science-meritocracy never had and never will allow development, let alone completion of unity-equality building.

    disunited americans stand– disunited they still end=impotency. this is true for egyptians also.
    it just cannot ever be good enough to forever protest what one is against and never once say what one is for.

    such thinking cannot bring anything but a new chaos, new tyrants, deceivers, thieves.

    blaming a govt and not the governance is a waste of time. there is nothing the greatest criminal minds like than blaming, protesting, and not doing anything constructive!

    even massive passive resistance or sabotaging a wicked governance is much better that shaking one’s fist, yelling, etc.

    people do not seem to understand the grave dangers they r in. i am talking about possible nuke wars, global warming killing bns of people and biota, more poverty, etc.
    and they worry about mubarak.
    so, mubarak get’s the order to step dwn; the commanders then throw a few crumbs; everybody goes home [hey, there is crying kids at home asking for food] and in a few months things get even worse.

    ok, u complainers; lay it on the line: what is gonna happen when protests end? i’v said what is gonna come. it’s ur turn! stop attacking thinkers who have divergent opinions and expectations.
    it just isn’t honest deterring free flow of free speech.
    there is about 4 people who mostly or solely engage in personal attacks.


  4. mary said on February 3rd, 2011 at 4:12pm #

    That was not a personal attack. It was written as I was annoyed that you seem to assume that if the Egyptian people escape from the tyranny, some Islamist religious group will take power in the vacuum. That same prediction and propaganda is being put out by the Zionists in this country and Melanie Phillips, an arch Zionist commentator, is saying just that at the moment on the programme Question Time. The day started with the propaganda on BBC Radio 4 (see another comment I made earlier) and ends with more of it on the main BBC TV channel.

    It is up to the Egyptian people to decide their future anyway. The original protesters, when speaking to reporters, all seemed to have a desire for a secular society. That was until the Mubarak thugs arrived on the scene to create the mayhem and the divisions.

    We shall see.

  5. bozh said on February 3rd, 2011 at 4:40pm #

    mary, i am not responsible for annoying self. learn, please, to respect others.

    i do not know what some ‘jews’ r saying about islamists taken over the power in egypt.

    i have neither tacitly nor explicitly said that islamists wld replace mubarak.

    and i doubt very much, that what ‘jews’ mean [never mind what they say] is identical with what i mean.

    in add’n, what i said about egypt, is put in context of all i said, it cld be seen that i am concerned about events that 99.99% + of people of the world show no concern for whatever.

  6. commoner3 said on February 4th, 2011 at 4:26am #

    To Editor,

    Why did your take out my reasonable logical post. What is your agenda?
    Just because I posted somewhat controrian point of view, you strike it out.
    You are a disgrace to your profession and freedom of speech.

  7. mary said on February 4th, 2011 at 4:28am #

    There was hardly a minute when the words ‘Muslim Brotherhood’ were not being bandied about yesterday as ‘concern’ for the Egyptian people was being expressed by the MSM, the messengers of Israel’s gangsters-in-charge. New bogeymen are being created to vie with ‘Ahmadinejad’, ‘Iran’ ‘Hezbollah’, ‘Hamas’ and ‘North Korea’

    Robert Fisk wrote:

    “As my mobile phone vibrated again and again, it was the same old story. Every radio anchor, every announcer, every newsroom wanted to know if the Muslim Brotherhood was behind this epic demonstration. Would the Brotherhood take over Egypt? I told the truth. It was rubbish. Why, they might get only 20 per cent at an election, 145,000 members out of a population of 80 million…”


  8. commoner3 said on February 4th, 2011 at 5:52am #

    Re: mary said on February 4th, 2011 at 4:28am #


    Robert Fisk is full of it. The basic fact is that the Muslim Brotherhood is the ONLY opposition group that is well funded and well organised.
    It might surprise you that if the Muslim Brotherhood took over Egypt, that in the long run will serve Israel very well. That will give Israel an excuse to start a war with those “radical Muslims”

  9. commoner3 said on February 4th, 2011 at 6:03am #

    continued from the previous post,

    and since both the Egyptian and Israeli armies are armed by the United States, guess which of the two armies are better armed and who will win?
    And that mean a big chunk of Sinai or whole of Sinai will be taken by Isreal especially there are rumors of big gas discoveries there?
    What will happen in Egypt if the Muslim Brotherhood took over will be a repeat of what happened in Iran after the Mullas took over and much worse.

  10. jayn0t said on February 4th, 2011 at 7:59am #

    It is true, as Mary points out, that the pro-Israel media are making a big deal out of the Muslim Brotherhood. It doesn’t follow that one should sympathise with, or minimise the influence of, that organisation. That’s exactly the mistake made in 1979. I remember the headline in a British leftist paper “A new power is born”: uncritical adulation. Khomeini was either downplayed, or outrightly supported. The Islamic Republic ended up dishing out more repression to the left and the working class than the Shah had ever done.

  11. jayn0t said on February 4th, 2011 at 3:38pm #

    As if to confirm my last comment, here’s George Galloway:
    He makes two huge mistakes:
    1. No mention of Islamic counter-revolution – he’s old enough to know better
    2. He says the Egyptian events are against America’s interest – he amalgamates Israel, the USA and Britain under ‘imperialism’ – but these countries don’t have the same interests

  12. mary said on February 5th, 2011 at 7:26am #

    What is the extent of the Mubarak family fortune. $70 billion? Multiple luxury homes? How many? Who knows?


    What is fact is that 40% Of Egyptians live on $2 a day or less.


  13. Rehmat said on February 5th, 2011 at 9:29am #

    mary – do you suppose the Jewish ABCNews will tell you how much the US and Israel made out of Egypt to let Hosni get that rich?

  14. mary said on February 5th, 2011 at 10:11am #

    No of course they won’t. Those are state secrets!!

  15. mary said on February 5th, 2011 at 10:16am #

    jaynot said
    The Islamic Republic ended up dishing out more repression to the left and the working class than the Shah had ever done.

    Who told him that? Was it the pro-Israel media again? I think it probably was.