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Defining
the Resistance in Iraq:
It's
Not Foreign and It's Well Prepared
by
Scott Ritter
Dissident
Voice
November 11, 2003
In
the Baghdad suburb of Abu Ghraib is a compound on an abandoned airstrip that
once belonged to a state organization known as M-21, or the Special Operations
Directorate of the Iraqi Intelligence Service. As a UN weapons inspector, I inspected
this facility in June of 1996. We were looking for weapons of mass destruction
(WMD). While I found no evidence of WMD, I did find an organization that
specialized in the construction and employment of "improvised explosive
devices" - the same IEDs that are now killing Americans daily in Iraq.
When
we entered the compound, three Iraqis tried to escape over a wall with documents,
but they were caught and surrendered the papers. Like reams of other documents
stacked inside the buildings, these papers dealt with IEDs. I held in my hands
a photocopied primer on how to conduct a roadside ambush using IEDs, and others
on how to construct IEDs from conventional high explosives and military
munitions. The sophisticated plans - albeit with crude drawings - showed how to
take out a convoy by disguising an IED and when and where to detonate it for
maximum damage.
Because
WMD was what we were charged with looking for, we weren't allowed to take notes
on this kind of activity. But, when we returned to our cars, we carefully reconstructed
everything we saw.
What
I saw - and passed on to US intelligence agencies - were what might be called
the blueprints of the postwar insurgency that the US now faces in Iraq. And
they implied two important facts that US authorities must understand:
*
The tools and tactics killing Americans today in Iraq are those off the former
regime, not imported from abroad.
*
The anti-US resistance in Iraq today is Iraqi in nature, and more broadly based
and deeply rooted than acknowledged.
IEDs
are a terrifying phenomenon to the American soldiers patrolling Iraq. The IED
has transformed combat into an anonymous ambush, a nerve-racking game of highway
roulette that has every American who enters a vehicle in Iraq today (whether it
be the venerable, and increasingly vulnerable, Humvee, or an armored behemoth
like the M-1 Abrams tank) wondering if this ride will be their last.
Far
from representing the tactics of desperate foreign terrorists, IED attacks in
Iraq can be traced to the very organizations most loyal to Saddam Hussein. M-21
wasn't the only unit trained in IEDs. During an inspection of the Iraqi Intelligence
Service's training academy in Baghdad in April 1997, I saw classrooms for
training all Iraqi covert agents in the black art of making and using IEDs. My
notes recall tables piled with mockups of mines and grenades disguised in
dolls, stuffed animals, and food containers - and classrooms for training in
making car bombs and recruiting proxy agents for using explosives.
That
same month, I inspected another facility, located near the wealthy Al Mansur
district of Baghdad, that housed a combined unit of Hussein's personal security
force and the Iraqi Intelligence Service. The mission of this unit was to track
the movement and activities of every Iraqi residing in that neighborhood
straddling the highway that links the presidential palace with Saddam International
Airport.
A
chilling realization overcame us when we entered a gymnasium-sized room and saw
that the floors were painted in a giant map of the neighborhood. The streets
were lined with stacked metallic "in-box" trays - each stack
represented a house or apartment building. A three-story building, for example,
contained three levels of trays; each tray contained dossiers on each citizen
living on that floor. Similar units existed in other neighborhoods, including
those deemed "anti-regime."
Hussein's
government was - and its remnants are - intimately familiar with every square
inch of Baghdad: who was loyal, where they live, and who they associated with.
(The same can be said about all of Iraq, for that matter, even the Kurdish and
Shiite regions.) This information allows officials from the remnants of
Hussein's intelligence and security services to hide undetected among a sympathetic
population. Indeed, a standard quotient among counterinsurgency experts is that
for every 100 active insurgents fielded, there must be 1,000 to 10,000 active
supporters in the local population.
Though
the Bush administration consistently characterizes the nature of the enemy in
Iraq as "terrorist," and identifies the leading culprits as
"foreign fighters," the notion of Al Qaeda or Al Ansar al Islam using
Baghdad (or any urban area in Iraq) as an independent base of operations is
far-fetched. To the extent that foreigners appear at all in Baghdad, it is
likely only under the careful control of the pro-Hussein resistance, and even
then, only to be used as an expendable weapon in the same way one would use a
rocket-propelled grenade or IED.
The
growing number, sophistication, and diversity of attacks on US forces suggests
that the resistance is growing and becoming more organized - clear evidence
that the US may be losing the struggle for the hearts and minds of the Iraqi
people.To properly assess the nature of the anti-American resistance in Iraq
today, one must remember that the majority of pro-regime forces, especially
those military units most loyal to Hussein, as well as the entirety of the
Iraqi intelligence and security forces, never surrendered. They simply melted
away.
Despite
upbeat statements from the Bush administration to the contrary, the reality is
that the Hussein regime was not defeated in the traditional sense, and today
shows signs of reforming to continue the struggle against the US-led occupiers
in a way that plays to its own strengths, and exploits US weakness.
For
political reasons, the Bush administration and the Coalition Provisional Authority
(CPA) haven't honestly confronted this reality for fear of admitting that they
totally bungled their prewar assessments about what conditions they would face
in postwar occupied Iraq.
The
failure to realistically assess the anti-American resistance in Iraq means that
"solutions" the US and CPA develop have minimal chance of success because
they're derived from an inaccurate identification of the problem.
The
firestorm of anti-US resistance in Iraq continues to expand - and risks growing
out of control - because of the void of viable solutions. Unless measures are
taken that recognize that the tattered Hussein regime remains a viable force,
and unless actions are formulated accordingly, the conflict in Iraq risks
consuming the US in a struggle in which there may be no prospect of a clear-cut
victory and an increasing possibility of defeat.
Scott
Ritter is a former Marine intelligence officer, Gulf
War I vet, and was a UN weapons inspector in Iraq (1991-1998). His latest book
is Frontier Justice: Weapons of Mass Destruction and the Bushwhacking of America
(Context Books, 2003).