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Blackout:
Repeating Energy History
by
David Morris
August
21, 2003
Who
says history doesn't repeat itself?
On
November 9, 1965 at little past 5 p.m., some 30 million people in eight
Northeastern states and two Canadian provinces were plunged into darkness.
Hundreds of thousands of people found themselves trapped on immobilized New
York City subways or stuck in elevators. Automobiles slowed to a crawl when
traffic lights stopped working. Millions of people remained without electricity
for as long as 15 hours.
Initially,
the possibility of sabotage was considered. Eventually it was determined the
disturbance began because of a faulty setting of a relay and the resulting
tripping of a heavily loaded transmission line feeding power into Toronto. The
resulting surge of power from Canada into the United States overwhelmed
transmission lines in western New York and resulted in the unprecedented
widespread blackout.
The
nation responded to the 1965 blackout by establishing the North American Electric
Reliability Council (NERC) and investing significant resources to improve the
oversight and control of our grid systems. The effectiveness of these
investments was undermined when, in the 1980s and 1990s, the federal government
enacted rules that encouraged more and more electricity to travel further and
further, stressing already stressed and complex grid systems.
But
that didn't stop regional outages. In August 1996, another multi-state blackout
occurred in the Pacific Northwest. Then, a handful of electrical lines in
southern Oregon sagged in the summer heat, initiating a chain reaction that cut
power to more than four million people in nine states.
Today,
as in 1965, federal officials are echoing the prescriptions of their
predecessors: fortify a system that's likely to fail again.
President
Bush, traveling in California, told the Associated Press, he "suspects the
nation's electrical grid will have to be modernized." Meanwhile, the NERC,
The Washington Post reported, wants up to $20 billion to build more high
voltage transmission lines to strengthen the current system.
But
electrical engineers will tell you that increasing the electrical
interdependence of different parts of the country only increases the potential
for large-scale power system failures.
Utility
executive Gregory S. Vassell wrote in 1990, "The natural limitations in
the spread of the 1965 disturbance, brought about by the tripping of the then
weak transmission links between the Northeast and other areas, may or may not
be operative in today's circumstances. Thus, a major cascading power failure --
once triggered in one part of the country -- could spread to a much larger
geographical area today than it did in 1965." The extent of this week's
blackout proves him right.
Instead
of pursuing strategies that have failed in the past, government at every level
should embrace an alternative: local power generation. Rather than spending
tens of billions of dollars to allow electricity to travel in ever-greater
volumes over ever-longer distances, we should install millions of power plants
in office buildings, apartment houses, factories and households across America.
We
already have an industry that builds on-site power plants. Hospitals, for
example, are required by law to have emergency backup systems. This week, they
were oases of light and coolness in New York City. Hundreds of thousands of
backup systems could be upgraded to become functioning parts of the local
electricity grid.
Moreover,
because of the increasing unreliability of the existing grid system, growing
numbers of high-tech, information intensive businesses are installing their own
power systems. These generators produce higher-priced electricity, but when the
economic losses from a regional blackout can run into the millions of dollars,
these businesses have come to view such safeguards as a worthwhile and even
essential investment.
Fuel
cells, rooftop solar devices, micro-generators are all available in growing
quantities. Installing these devices not only makes the electricity grid more
reliable, because it will reduce the stress on transmission lines. It can also
make power systems more efficient. Today giant power plants waste two-thirds of
the fuel they burn. It is given off as waste heat. But on-site power plants can
use that waste heat, thereby doubling or even tripling the amount of useful
work we generate per unit of energy consumed.
The
technology is here. But the political will and regulatory structure is not.
Today the rules encourage long-distance transmission of electricity and the
construction of large power plants. The varying energy bills recently passed in
the Senate and House look to further pre-empt the authority of local and state
governments to involve themselves in electricity planning. The result will be
an even more centralized and long-loop system.
We
need to adopt a bottom-up approach. We need to establish rules that will channel
entrepreneurial energy, investment capital and scientific genius toward
building a two-way electricity system, one in which millions of households and
businesses become producers as well as consumers. We need to develop the rules
that will enable and encourage a distributed, decentralized, democratic
electricity system.
David Morris is the author of
Seeing the Light: Regaining Control of Our Electricity System, and Vice
President of the Institute for Local Self-Reliance. This article first appeared
in Tom Paine.com (www.tompaine.com)