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The
Dynamics of Global Power
by
Ash Pulcifer
April
28, 2003
The
United States has failed to persuade the world to support its quest for global
hegemony. The belief that America is the "indispensable nation" that
needs to continually expand its sphere of influence has been met with
resistance from many, both inside and outside its borders. This failure of
persuasion means that the U.S. will find it difficult to secure control around
the world and instead will be met with challenges from other states claiming
different ideologies, hoping to surmount the U.S. in global attractiveness and
influence. Instead of continuing this failed attempt to remain a global
hegemon, the U.S. should instead recognize the likelihood of its weakened
future position and work to create empowered global institutions that could
prevent one state from ever achieving too much power.
The
battles fought between the great European states in the two world wars
exemplified the need to restrain individual states from becoming rogue
superpowers. After World War I, the League of Nations was created. This
organization was not given enough power and it became obsolete with the
bloodshed of the Second World War. After Hitler's and Hirohito's armies fell,
the need for a restraining organization was felt once again. The United Nations
was created in order to provide an effective tool for tempering the power of
individual states.
While
achieving many great humanitarian successes, the United Nations has largely
failed in its other mission to check the power of dominant states. It was able
to restrain weak states effectively, but due to its lack of a strong military
or economic capability, powerful states simply ignored the decrees of the
United Nations when they didn't suit their interests. Instead of the United
Nations preserving world order after the fall of Germany and Japan, a fragile
power balance developed from the rivalry between the Soviet Union and the
United States.
With
the fall of the Soviet Union in the early '90s, it was finally time to see if
the United Nations could fulfill its mandate to control world order. During its
trial decade, the U.N. had a few notable successes, such as its prevention of
Saddam Hussein from remaining in control of Kuwait; however, weak states felt
that the United Nations was merely a handmaiden of the United States, a country
whose economic and military power was so strong that it could manipulate
individual member states to vote in its favor. But the U.N.'s major failures
were most evident in its powerlessness to intercede in military disputes. Not
intervening in the Rwandan genocide was one of the greatest tragedies of the
1990s and directly tarnished the reputation of the United Nations as an
effective military force. Rwanda proved that in order for an organization like
the U.N. to exist, it needed an independent military free from the restraints
and policies of member states.
But
it was not until the invasion of Iraq in 2003 that the U.N.'s true impotence
was revealed. The inability of the U.N. to restrain the United States from
attacking Iraq proves that the U.N. is completely incapable of enforcing
resolutions that bind powerful states to international law. This inability,
though already well known, is most evident in the U.N.'s decades-long failure
to restrain Israel from its occupation of foreign lands. But the U.N.'s
restraining inability in 2003 was magnified by the fact that the country the
U.N. could not restrain was the all-powerful United States, ironically also a
country that publicly cherishes the very ideals for which the U.N. stands.
The
United States has almost always been an outspoken proponent of the U.N., often
citing its resolutions as justifications for punishing a vile government. Yet
in 2003, the U.S. showed that it now considers the U.N. to be only a servant of
U.S. policy and that it's openly willing to defy the rulings of this
international body that it, itself, helped to create. In doing so, the U.S. has
weakened the United Nations and will indirectly cause less international
cooperation and a higher potential for regional conflict.
The
effects of this public disavowal have not yet begun to be seen. It will take
time for states to reassess their interests and decide on how they will alter
their national policies. But if the U.N. continues to be ignored by the United
States, these states will be forced to alter their national policies, focusing
less on international cooperation and more on strict national objectives; these
states will no longer be able to achieve national objectives through the United
Nations and will now have to take unilateral actions to secure their interests,
as was done by the U.S. in Iraq.
The
U.S., however, still has the possibility to mend the damage done to the U.N. If
the Bush administration were to affirm unequivocally that the United Nations
was needed to rebuild Iraq and was imperative for the creation of a future
Iraqi government, it would restore the U.N.'s credibility. The United States
would have to take a less hands on approach in Iraq's political, economic and
military future; moreover, the U.S. could push for an international
peacekeeping force to be deployed throughout all of Iraq, giving a real
possibility that the Iraqi people would see the U.S. action as liberation
rather than occupation. These actions would reassert the traditional U.S.
belief in the importance of the United Nations as an effective force in world
order.
The
buttressing of the United Nations by the United States would work to protect
U.S. interests in the future. It is true that the U.S. will be better able to
achieve more narrow national objectives by circumventing the U.N., but this
will only be possible in the short-term. Lacking the attraction necessary to be
a global hegemon and weakening the power of other states through its rejection
of the United Nations, other states will work to rival the U.S. in economic and
military power. Like all great powers, the superiority of the United States
will most likely become diminished in the future. Therefore, in order to secure
long-term U.S. interests, the United States should work to reinforce the United
Nations, or to create a new global body that will be able to restrain
individual states effectively. While such an institution may damage some U.S.
short-term interests, in the end it could help to protect the United States and
other countries from major military conflicts.
As
of now, however, there are no real signs that the Bush administration is
interested in falling back on the traditional U.S. stance toward the United
Nations. It is true that internationalists amongst the administration, such as
Colin Powell, have sought to soften the anti-U.N. rhetoric coming from Pentagon
officials like Secretary of State Donald Rumsfeld. But even the
internationalists seem to be falling in line with the Bush Doctrine that calls
for a more internationally proactive U.S., not necessarily working within the
guidelines put forth by the United Nations.
If
this waning influence of the United Nations continues along with a proactive
U.S. on the international scene, there will be definite reactions throughout
the world. Because states are not convinced of the American economic, political
and societal models, they will react negatively toward hegemonic U.S.
assertions and will work to limit the power of the United States. If these
states cannot use the U.N. to limit the power of the U.S., they will use other
means such as building alliances and increasing their economic independence
from Washington. Finally, in order to protect their interests, they will pump
more money into their militaries. Such a future does not bode well for an
improved sense of world order that all humanity so desperately desires.
Ash Pulcifer is a U.S. based analyst of
international conflicts and a human rights activist. This article first
appeared in YellowTimes.org. Ash
encourages your comments: apulcifer@YellowTimes.org