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The
Reckless GOP Tax Plan
by
Natasha Hunter
April
9, 2003
When
it comes to hurling money at the wealthy, Tom DeLay just can't contain himself
-- even if it means trotting out a crass and incoherent excuse about our troops
in the field.
"Nothing
is more important in the face of a war than cutting taxes," he told
Congress Daily recently, speaking on the president's proposed three-quarter of
a trillion dollar tax cut.
Really?
Without
access to Mr. DeLay's library, it's hard to guess what history DeLay is basing
his comments on. Slashing taxes in wartime is an unprecedented act. No
president has ever requested a tax cut during any war in the past century. And
while Congress sometimes balked at extreme wartime tax hikes, it never
recommended an unnecessarily deeper plunge into debt.
Taxes
increased during the First World War, and the first mass income tax was
instituted during World War II. The number of Americans paying income tax rose
from 4 million to 44 million between 1939 and 1944, and collections skyrocketed
from $1 billion to $19 billion. The Treasury Department commissioned cartoons
and advertisements to sell the change, with Donald Duck sputtering that it was
Americans' duty and privilege to pay taxes while soldiers were risking their
lives overseas. Irving Berlin even wrote a song for the Treasury called "I
Paid My Income Tax Today."
The
first major post-World War II tax cut occurred just after Kennedy's
assassination, during peacetime. Johnson initially refused to raise taxes to
cover the costs of the Vietnam War, but in 1968 gave in and upped the income
tax.
This
time it's different.
"The
usual pattern is you tax the public to pay for the war," says Georgetown
history professor Michael Kazin. Bush's budget, he says, reverses a
hundred-year trend.
Other
historians agree. "It's the first time we're entering a war this size
where we have a really conservative president and Congress, with a strong
vision of reducing government, and the tax cut is a prime example -- the
impetus to cut has never been as strong," says Dr. Julian Zelizer, a
history professor at SUNY-Buffalo and author of the book Taxing America.
"I'm not sure it will work. The pressures to spend during war are
tremendous."
Indeed,
Bush already requested an $80 billion supplemental wartime spending package --
the single largest such appropriation in history. To get some perspective, that
amounts to roughly double New York City's annual budget, according to The New
York Times. It outdoes the entire 2003 budgets of the Departments of
Agriculture, Education or Justice. The Pentagon says that money will merely get
our troops to Iraq and back, and that's if the war lasts only a few months. It
doesn't include the funds needed to rebuild, or maintain our occupation.
The
math here would seem almost too elementary to point out, if it weren't for
radical GOP lawmakers like DeLay, who seem oblivious to the numbers and
recklessly dismissive of fiscal prudence.
It's
that old supply-side delirium again.
DeLay,
like other devotees, maintains the faith that somehow cutting taxes will
someday increase government revenue. They ignore the fact that Bush the first,
Mr. "Read My Lips" himself, had to raise taxes to rescue the nation
from a Reagonomics-induced slump, arguably sacrificing his own presidency in
the process. Meanwhile supply-siders attribute the Clinton-era surpluses to a
post-Reagan economic bubble, completely ignoring the tech boom of the '90s.
If
that weren't enough to tip the balance of reason, the Congressional Budget
Office has recently estimated that Bush's stimulus package, including the tax
cut, is "unlikely to be dramatic," and could be negative. Meanwhile
the CBO has warned that war costs are likely to exceed the administration's
estimates, and spoke of "substantial costs in later years" and
"occupation" costs of $1 billion to $4 billion per month.
Given
these costs, plus unheard-of state budget shortfalls and a $400 billion deficit
darkening the horizon, no one seems to have the foggiest idea where all this
money will come from, if not from taxes. Which could explain why 10 Nobel
laureates, along with economics guru Alan Greenspan, oppose the
administration's budget.
"It
must have been hard," writes Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz
in the March 13 edition of the New York Review of Books, "for Bush to
design a tax program that costs so much in revenue while at the same time doing
so little to stimulate the economy."
Yet
DeLay and other Republicans love to squawk that not supporting the president on
this fiscal suicide mission amounts to a virtually treasonous display of
anti-Americanism during a time of war.
"When
our troops are over there fighting, we don't want partisan bickering to be what
they see on television from back home," Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison
(R-Texas) told The New York Times. "We want them to see our support, our
total commitment, because if the economy sags, it's going to affect everyone
over there fighting now."
Actually,
Congresses in the past have had no trouble opposing the president during
wartime, at least on domestic issues arguably unrelated to war. And sometimes
they do it through the budgetary process. In the first throes of a conflict,
says Brown University historian James Patterson, Congress is usually generous
with funds, and then less enthusiastic only after the war has dragged on. As he
points out, one way that Democrats started to resist the Vietnam War was by
refusing to allocate funds for it. This time, while they're handing Bush the
money he wants, along with at least part of the tax cut he called for, they're
anxious.
"Congress
doesn't have a lot of money, and they're not going to have a lot of money, and
they have a lot of constituents who need things," Patterson says.
"They'll give money, but they want to earmark it, and that kind of
criticism is reflective that we're in a new period, fighting a war without a
lot of money." In World War II, he adds, there was quite a bit of revenue,
and in Vietnam the country was doing fairly well financially, but here the
country is experiencing a recession coupled with no tax revenue.
"This
is almost unbearable pressure for a lot of [conservatives]," Patterson
says. "That's why you see these early skirmishes over the budget, which is
not traditional for 20th century American history."
Sure
enough, moderate GOP lawmakers are digging in their heels. Sen. John McCain
(R-Ariz.) came out immediately against the tax cut, insisting that the nation
can't possibly cut taxes until we know what the war will cost.
"Let
us wait until we have succeeded in Iraq, and until we have some idea of what
percentage of the costs of the aftermath of the hostilities we will have to
bear," McCain said on the Senate floor in March. "[I]t is far sounder
statesmanship than cutting taxes in the dark, or running up spending, without
due regard to our primary responsibility to the American people: their physical
security."
Sen.
Olympia Snowe (R-Maine) seems to share his sentiment, along with Sens. Lincoln
Chafee (R-R.I.) and George Voinovich (R-Ohio). While Snowe supported a $350
billion compromise on the Senate floor, her vote on the Finance Committee is
considered to hold the key when the committee draws up legislation in a few
weeks. Estimates of the final package hover around $550 billion.
DeLay
and Co. continue to march, zombielike, down the well-paved path to financial
ruin, all the while blaming Democrats, who have history -- as well as a number
of Republicans -- on their side. It's an effective strategy, especially since
they can't own up to the real story: that they, along with Bush's advisors,
earnestly hope to drown the government in so much debt in the coming years that
it will be forced to shrink, effectively dismantling the Great Society.
"Democrats
are always asking for more money with little or no credibility on why they want
it," DeLay told Roll Call. "I rely on the president to know what he
needs rather than some pseudo-expert running around the House or Senate."
Who,
we'd like to know, is the "pseudo-expert" here? If the past is a
reliable indicator, DeLay and Bush's number crunchers are the
"experts" whose credibility we should question.
Natasha Hunter is associate
editor at TomPaine.com, where this article first appeared (www.tompaine.com)