Will
the Bush regime "prevail" and go to war? Or will it listen to
citizens - and quite a few governments - around the world and think?
Could
it be that President Bush is projecting his own subconscious and fears when he
tells Saddam that "the game is over"? Could it be that he and the
apparently desperate people around him are beginning to feel that their
bullying and vision-less game - not with the world but against it - could spell
the end of their regime and the U.S. empire?
The
Bush regime is politically fundamentalist: we are right, they are wrong. It's
based on the flawed assumption that policies can be based on a) dictating to
friends and foes alike that they are either with us/U.S. or against us/U.S.,
and b) ignoring every type of listening, consulting and consensus-building
policies with rightfully concerned parties, including its closest friends.
So,
regrettable as it is, it's the Bush regime's policies, not Saddam Hussein's,
that have split the West and now shake institutions such as the United Nations,
the EU and NATO.
We
are not talking about events and statements made the last few weeks. Citizens
in virtually all Western democracies, in the Arab world and elsewhere, as well
as a growing number of governments, have accumulated their anger and fears over
several years.
The
overwhelming protests by millions of citizens all over our common world on February
15 draws upon a deep-seated resentment and a sense of having been humiliated by
those in power. They feel that they have had enough after years of the Bush
regime's insensitivity, arrogance and bellicosity.
The
destructiveness of the Bush regime
Here
are some of the unilaterally destructive results of the Bush regime's
activities.
1.
Mistaking the criminal act on September 11 for a war. Then building up a
world-wide war on terror that is out of proportion with the problem and will
cause more, not less, terrorism. (In the year 2000, about 400 people were
killed world wide in terrorism - many lives, yes, but not exactly the largest
problem in the world).
2.
Ignoring civil rights in the U.S. and elsewhere (Guantanamo) in the struggle
against this terrorism. More Orwellian legislation is being prepared by
Attorney General John Ashcroft: Patriot Act
II.
3.
Undermining international law by withdrawing from important treaties,
fundamental principles and norms of the UN Charter and refusing to participate
in summits where the common problems of humankind are being discussed (often
problems caused predominantly by the American lifestyle and consumption
patterns). These policies are associated with fundamentally important issues
such as the Kyoto treaty, The International Criminal Court, ICC, the
Johannesburg World Summit and the decision to stop funding the UN Population
Fund as well as with outmaneouvring heads or international organisations and
missions.
4.
Forgetting to consult, after September 11, with the sincerely sympathetic
Europeans, ignoring NATO - that evoked its Article 5 - and attacking
Afghanistan virtually alone.
5.
Devastating Afghanistan and killing 5,000-10,000 innocent people in this
country with a population of about one-tenth that of the U.S. In short,
retaliating completely out of proportion to the harm done on September 11 (and
they're still bombing).
6.
Bombing Afghanistan and contributing far too little to minimum humanitarian and
economic aid. And then rushing on to Iraq and Korea (and Saudi-Arabia, Iran,
and...?)
7.
Talking about the "Axis of Evil" which is based on a simplified and
paranoid worldview that provides the U.S. a role similar to that of the Messiah
and the Chosen People - chosen to cleanse the world from that Evil.
8.
Antagonising the Koreans, north and south, dismissing the "sunshine
policy" and ignoring the commitments made in the 1994 agreement with North
Korea.
9.
Promoting the expansion of NATO and then undermining it because the Allies will
not blindly and obediently accept that a member state is used in a U.S. attack.
Turkey, against the will of 90 per cent of its citizens, is being blackmailed
to serve a military springboard for attacking Iraq and thereby could draw the
whole alliance into the disaster.
10.
Antagonising both Russia, India and China on a variety of issues and thereby
potentially moving towards a new Cold War.
11.
Introducing a nuclear posture, a Ballistic Missile Defence and a pre-emptive
war-fighting strategy. The Bush regime refuses to see that this amounts to
blatant violations of international law and common norms laboriously built up
and solidified over five decades. These strategies also effectively prevents
the United States from providing moral leadership towards a more peaceful
world.
12.
In the process, creating jitters throughout the world economy and causing the
dollar to decline steadily, while oil prices are going the other way. Just
imagine what much higher oil prices will mean for millions of people in poor
oil-importing countries.
13.
Putting thousands of American lives at risk: a) by sending soldiers into combat
and b) by steadily increasing the risk of future, retaliative terror attacks on
the U.S.
14.
Planning a nuclear war on the Iraqis, something only a callous and
irresponsible person would do to further his own interests. In addition,
ignoring completely that, according to UN Security Council Resolution 687 of
1991, the Middle East shall be a zone free of Weapons of Mass Destruction and
that, therefore, Israel is obliged to be inspected, comply, co-operate and be
disarmed like Iraq.
15.
Undermining the United Nations and creating the conditions for a deep split in
its Security Council by exclusively imposing its own will on the world
organisation .
16.
For all practical purposes conducting a political war on "old" Europe
and the European Union (which admittedly has made a joke of its idea about a
common EU foreign and security policy). The U.S. will punish Germany in
particular for its "treachery" (See
the Guardian)
17.
Creating a huge democratic deficit within the West: a) George W. Bush, the
world's most powerful leader, was not elected, he was selected. b) according to
opinion polls the majority of citizens world-wide are against a war while a
number of "democratic" governments support the war. The Bush regime
has been so amateurish that it has never thought of a political exit strategy,
should the war option turn out to be unacceptable or infeasible
18.
Developing an empire that is not built on vision, benevolence or economic
strength but on military power (half of the world's military expenditures),
economic exploitation of millions around the world, megalomania, arrogance and
plain contempt of virtually everybody else who are not "with us."
There
is nothing constructive about the Bush regime; it's a political and
civilisational destroyer. When did you last meet someone who thought George W.
Bush was a man with a rational policy or an attractive vision of the future
world? Many felt that about, say, Kennedy, Carter, or Reagan. Today people
around the world shake their heads in resignation or feel that George W. Bush,
his clique and attitudes, begin to look like a serious danger to the world.
This is not anti-Americanism. But it is anti-Bushism. And we do need
non-violent confrontation.
Intellectual
and moral power versus military might - a deadly imbalance
Never
has the gap between intellectual and moral power, and technological and military
power been so deep. There is nothing to laugh about anymore, if there ever was.
Extrapolate
the kinds of thinking, policies and trends above into the future - 2, 5, 10
years. Do you think it can go well? How long will it take before the
international community, as we know it, breaks down in chaos and, perhaps,
world wide warfare? How much longer can the real problems of humankind wait for
solutions while the Bush regime wastes the world's resources, derails our
attention and consumes our energies on foolish struggles against imagined and
self-contrived enemies?
Mr.
Bush' game must come to an end before we all slide into incurable decay. He is
far more dangerous to the international community than Saddam Hussein. They are
both political fundamentalists but only Bush seems to have the mind-set, the
(weak) intellect and the mighty military power to plunge the world into
uncharted territories of utter chaos and destruction.
Perhaps
the best we can hope for at this juncture is some kind of damage limitation.
What is needed, however, in a world order perspective is free, non-commercial
and internationally monitored elections leading to peaceful regime change in
Washington.
Given
the extent of the American empire in today's world, we must also begin to think
imaginatively about ways in which citizens around the world, not only the
American people, can influence the election of future U.S. leaders and the
course of its global policies. February 15 may be one indicator of something
new: those influenced by U.S. power voice their democratic opinion to influence
U.S. policies.
Global
democratisation should go through non-violent confrontation with the Bush
regime and co-operation with every American who is half as scared as the rest
of us are. February 15, 2003, was the largest ever global, pre-war protest and
it was a great sign of hope for humanity and decency.
Masters
of (Nuclear) War are hardly deterred by a few million marchers...
But we must not be
content now. The struggle for a peaceful resolution to the Iraqi and other
threatening conflicts, not to mention the abolition of war as an accepted
social institution, requires a sustained peace debate and activism in the weeks,
months and years to come. We should not take for granted that Masters of War
who do not seem afraid to shake the fate of the earth with their nuclear
weapons, would be deterred to the point of backing down just because a few
million people protest.
Jan Oberg is the Director of the Transnational
Foundation For Peace and Future Research in Sweden (http://www.transnational.org). © Copyright Jan
Oberg and TFF 2003