by
Jan Oberg and Christian Harleman
Dissident Voice
March 5, 2003
For
many decision-makers it is convenient to focus on the brutality of the Iraqi
regime under Saddam Hussein and leave the deeply inhuman consequences of our
sanctions over the last 12 years untold. But, in the eyes of a visitor to Iraq,
the moral high ground of the West has crumbled. Before going to Iraq, we too
were quite ignorant about the facts and complexities; we were shocked by the
reality.
During our fact-finding
missions we collected statistics from international organisations, interviewed
virtually all the heads of missions of the United Nations and humanitarian
organisations. We met with Iraqi officials and visited hospitals.
Playing down the effects of
our sanctions - without evidence
Governments that have no
embassies and no independent fact-finding in Iraq can hardly know much. They
must base their policies on what is politically correct and convenient for
their policies in relation to other issues and other countries.
Thus, for instance, the
Swedish minister of foreign affairs, Ms. Anna Lindh, has repeatedly stated that
the people of Iraq suffer because of Saddam Hussein's wrong priorities and not
because of the sanctions. She asserts that a) the elite have received advanced
medical technology to treat cancer, but not the people; and b) that since the
oil export ceiling was lifted in 1999, Iraq now exports more oil than ever.
This presumably implies that there is enough money to care for people's needs.
Other politicians have used similar arguments, and the media willingly forwards
them without research or further questions asked.
Unfortunately, statements
like these are not backed up by evidence. And they do not cover even a fraction
of the comprehensive truth about the situation in Iraq.
Children in the bazaar area, Baghdad 2003 © 2003 Jan
Oberg
The basic facts
We have collected basic
statistics concerning the lives of the Iraqis from recent, open United Nations
reports that we obtained in Iraq in January 2003. (Thus, they could have been
collected by any scholar, journalist and parliamentary delegation who wanted to
know).
The data covers the changes
that have taken place since the late 1980s and early 1990s, i.e. a period in
which the regime has not conducted any wars. When discussing the effects of the
sanctions, it is not enough to compare the situation in 1996 when the Oil for
Food Programme began to be implemented with today. It is true that several
improvements have taken place during that period. The essential fact is that
all statistical indicators dropped in the preceding period between 1991 to
1995; Iraq wanted to care for its own people in spite of the sanctions, and the
government - like the international community - had no idea that sanctions
would last more than a decade and cripple society to the extent they did.
Second, the statistics
compare the present situation with the time when the Iran-Iraq war, the Kuwait
invasion and the allied war on Iraq had already reduced the quality of life in
the country. For instance, you will see that today's GNP per capita is 15 per
cent of what it was after these terrible events.
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DEMOGRAPHY
Iraqi population: roughly 24
million in 2000. Some 45% of the total population is under 14 years of age,
only 4% is over 65.
CHILD HEALTH
- Infant mortality: 47/1000
in late 1980s, 107 now.
- Under-five child
mortality: 56/1000 ten years ago, today 131.
- Child death causes: 70%
due to diarrhoea, dehydration and acute respiratory infections.
- Malnutrition: Acute 8%,
underweight 20%, chronic 30%
- Water: 5 million without
safe water. Between 1990 and 2000, the daily per capita amount of potable water
in both urban and rural areas decreased by more than 50%.
- People attending
outpatient clinics for mental/psychological disorders: 200,000 in 1990 and
510,000 in 1998.
SCHOOLING
- No longer attending
primary school: 31% girls, 18% boys
- No longer attending
secondary school: 50% boys and 60% girls
- Teacher salary: US $ 3-5;
shifts, classes of up to 60 pupils, outdated curriculum
5,100 new school buildings
need to be built, 70% of existing schools need rehabilitation
- Literacy rate 1998: 58%,
used to be much higher in the 1980s due to literacy campaigns; thus, adult
literacy rate was 72% in 1987.
- Female illiteracy has
increased from 8% in 1985 to 45% in 1995.
POVERTY &
DEVELOPMENT
- GNP per capita/year down
almost 7-fold since 1990 to US$700
- Value of Dinar: 0,33 to
the dollar in 1990, 20,000 to the dollar in 2002; devaluation 6000%
- Oil revenue: 35 billion
dollars between 1996 and November 2002
- Since 1991, Iraq's rank on
UNDP's Human Development Index fell from 96 to 127, out of 174. No other
country has fallen so far, so fast. In 1990, Iraq ranked three places above
Jordan; by 2000, it ranked 34 places below.
- Pre-Gulf War debts US$ 130
to 180 billion, 25% of oil income given away for war reparations (to Kuwait).
FOOD
Roughly 3.7 million families
currently receive an average of 2,470 kcal per person per day from the food
ration. Food ration is distributed by the Iraqi government through 40,000
shops.
*Statistics from various UN
organisations' publications obtained by TFF in Baghdad 2003.
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Father and son selling their books, Baghdad 2003 ©
2003 Jan Oberg
Other things you may not
know about the sanctions
A few other facts should be
added:
a) There is no
cash component for central and southern Iraq.
Iraq as such does not
receive cash for the oil it exports. Through the Oil for Food Programme, it
receives food rations, medicine and goods (such as spare parts, trucks, etc.)
that must first be approved by the UN Sanctions Committee. Nothing can enter
the country legally unless decided by that committee. If an item is considered
"dual use", i.e. can also be used for military purposes, Iraq will
not be allowed to import it. Only northern Iraq gets cash and special
programmes (see b); central and southern gets no cash for the oil. Since the
cash component philosophy is based on a series of conditions, among them that
the international community must control the country and secure that the cash
can't be diverted for the "wrong" purposes, it has been unacceptable
to Baghdad .
b) Iraq finances
all "humanitarian aid" through its oil export.
For the value of its oil
export, Iraq receives:
59% in humanitarian supplies
for the centre and south covering food, health, medicine, transport and food
handling, water and sanitation, housing, electricity, education, irrigation,
agriculture, telecommunication, etc.
25% goes to a compensation
fund, e.g. payments to Kuwait for the war.
13% goes to humanitarian
programmes in the north (Dahuk, Erbil, Suleimaniyah).
2.2% goes to cover
operations costs such as distribution and monitoring, bank-related charges, oil
and customs inspections, experts assisting the Sanctions Committee, etc.
0.8% to the administration
of the UN weapons inspection programme.
So, at best 71% of the oil
money comes back, in goods. Only the northern, mainly Kurdish, minority enjoys preferential
treatment and cash. The cash that enters Iraq is brought in through
"secret" oil export, smuggling, petty traders and the Mafia.
c) The items are
distributed through the Iraqi government system.
Iraqi families are
registered in a local shop where they pick up their monthly ration. There are
about 40,000 such shops, supplied by the government. It's the largest food
distribution project in a single country in the history of the United Nations.
According to all international sources we have spoken with, this functions
effectively given the overall socio-economic situation. This means that the
people are extremely dependent on the present government. Should a new war
destroy the food distribution system and/or topple the government, destroy roads,
buildings, etc., UN mission assess that there could be mass famine in Iraq
within 6-8 weeks. In addition, people who flee from their present homes will
not get rations elsewhere, only where they are registered today.
d) The food
rations are not sufficient.
The monthly food baskets
cover no more than the needs of about 25 days. Even so, about 40 per cent of
the families have to sell items to get enough cash to buy clothes or other
necessities. The main reason, of course, is that after three wars and twelve
years of sanctions, very few beyond the Mafia, the elite around the leadership
and the extremely wealthy have anything left. They have long ago sold their
jewellery, books, art, porcelain, furniture, etc. - all of which foreigners can
now buy in "antique" shops in Baghdad.
e) Iraq's oil
export revenue is far from enough to finance development.
Between December 1996 and
the end of 2002, Iraq exported oil to the value of US $ 61 billion. Oil
industry experts stated in 1998 that the country's oil industry was in a
"lamentable state". It exported fewer barrels in 2001 and 2002 than
it did in 1999 and 2000, according to UN statistics of January 2003. While oil
revenues for 2000 were roughly US$ 18 billion, they were roughly 11 billion in
2001 and 11 billion in 2002.
f) Sanctions kill
innocent Iraqis and suffocate Iraqi society.
The sanctions have killed an
estimated 500,000 to 1 million innocent Iraqis since 1991. The estimates have
been done by different UN agencies, among them UNICEF. They are not Iraqi
propaganda. The deaths took place particularly before 1996 when the Oil for
Food Programme began to be implemented. A typical expression among
internationals in Baghdad is that the sanctions are the main contributors to
the fact that a whole generation of young Iraqis have been lost. That's what
the health and schooling statistics above confirm. And the young were supposed
to be those who reconstruct and democratise Iraq. But how?
Inhuman and
counterproductive sanctions - the two cages
So, what have we done since
the "international community" decided to punish Iraq for the invasion
of Kuwait back in 1991?
In the name of the United
Nations, too, we have caused a genocide. We have deprived millions of people of
the human right to health, education and welfare, something that was an
integral part of the Baath Party and Saddam Hussein's development policy. We
have caused de-development throughout Iraqi society, the largest and fastest
fall in human development ever registered.
In the process, we have -
unwisely - crushed the educated middle class that existed there; Iraq is now a
mass of deprived people and a small elite of very wealthy people. This means
that we have also made the people dependent, even for their daily food, upon
the leader we allegedly wanted to punish, weaken and topple. We have crushed
the social forces that could have pushed for democracy, rule of law, human
rights and freedom in Iraq. We have caused many to leave Iraq.
Boy in car in Rasheed Street, Baghdad © 2003 Jan
Oberg
We, the authors, would not
be surprised if the Iraqi political and military leaders get what they need -
and more. The Swedish minister of foreign affairs may well be right here. But
are we really to believe that the consumption and life style of these few
thousands explain why the remaining 23-point-something million people suffer
the terrible way they do?
The people of Iraq were not
responsible for the invasion of Kuwait. But they, not Saddam, have been
punished, put in prison for 12 years. They have lost hope. They live inside the
inner cage of the regime and the outer cage of our sanctions. They know very
well who has insisted on keeping the sanctions in place, and it would be wise
to ask whether they are likely to receive foreign occupiers as liberators?
Stop the three wars on Iraq
and heal Iraq together with its people
Finally, there is much talk
about a new military war these days. But a war is already on; bombing raids
have been conducted by the U.S. and U.K. in the no-fly zones for years and are
now being stepped up. Foreign "special forces" already operate in
Iraq. In addition, the citizens of central and southern Iraq have been victims
of economic warfare every day since 1991. They are also objects of propaganda
warfare. Their voices have seldom been heard, and documentaries about their
situation are not exactly flooding our television screens. The media show
pictures only of Saddam with his rifles and swords. We shall remember that Iraq
is one bad guy and not 24 million fellow citizens in deep need of our sympathy,
empathy and compassion. We even let them pay for the humanitarian aid that
became necessary to keep them alive in a living hell.
A tiny minority of
governments may soon bomb, invade, occupy and control Iraq, or try to. Even if
conventional, the firepower will be mass-destructive to the people. The United
States and the United Kingdom plan to use nuclear weapons "if
necessary." How can they even think of doing that against a country in
which half of the people are children and youth who have lived all their life
in misery? Where is the Swedish and other governments' diplomatic protests at
the callous idea that nuclear - and chemical - weapons could be used against
Iraq?
When will our policies take youth into account? © 2003 Jan Oberg
Sanctions are our
mass-destructive weapon. Since 1991, simple facts tell us that sanctions have
killed and harmed more people and destroyed more of society's qualities than
Saddam presumably ever did. And now a new war? Shall there be no end to our
ignorance and cruelty?
These are dark and
increasingly mad times. The West seems so morally weak that we cannot take an
open discussion about the deeply inhuman consequences of our own morally
bankrupt policies. It's easier to blame everything on Saddam, "the
Evil", and insist that we are only doing good. Reality is that we stand on
the top of a Mount Everest of propaganda, ignorance, and lies. All wars require
such - convenient - ignorance and lies.
Instead of war, we ought to
lift the sanctions, apologise to the Iraqi people, beg their forgiveness and
help them get back to normal, sooner rather than later. If we did, they could
then take action to decide their own future. We certainly have no right to do
it for them.
Jan Oberg is the
Director of the Transnational Foundation For Peace and Future Research (TFF) in
Sweden (http://www.transnational.org). Christian Harleman is a TFF Associate. © Copyright Jan
Oberg and TFF 2003