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	<title>Comments on: Eastern Europe is About to Blow</title>
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		<title>By: Barry</title>
		<link>http://dissidentvoice.org/2009/02/eastern-europe-is-about-to-blow/#comment-39259</link>
		<dc:creator>Barry</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Feb 2009 19:49:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dissidentvoice.org/?p=6812#comment-39259</guid>
		<description>Right you are Suthiano - Erathosthenes.  I knew it was a Greek in Egypt.  At least I think they are both Greek.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Right you are Suthiano &#8211; Erathosthenes.  I knew it was a Greek in Egypt.  At least I think they are both Greek.</p>
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		<title>By: Suthiano</title>
		<link>http://dissidentvoice.org/2009/02/eastern-europe-is-about-to-blow/#comment-39257</link>
		<dc:creator>Suthiano</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Feb 2009 19:27:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dissidentvoice.org/?p=6812#comment-39257</guid>
		<description>It wasn&#039;t Ptolomy who preformed this experiment, it was Eratosthenes.

Eratosthenes knew that on the summer solstice at local noon in the Ancient Egyptian city of Swenet (known in Greek as Syene, and in the modern day as Aswan) on the Tropic of Cancer, the sun would appear at the zenith, directly overhead. He also knew, from measurement, that in his hometown of Alexandria, the angle of elevation of the Sun would be 1/50 of a full circle (7°12&#039;) south of the zenith at the same time. Assuming that Alexandria was due north of Syene he concluded that the distance from Alexandria to Syene must be 1/50 of the total circumference of the Earth. His estimated distance between the cities was 5000 stadia (about 500 geographical miles or 950 km). He rounded the result to a final value of 700 stadia per degree, which implies a circumference of 252,000 stadia. The exact size of the stadion he used is frequently argued. The common Attic stadium was about 185 m, which would imply a circumference of 46,620 km, i.e. 16.3% too large. However, if we assume that Eratosthenes used the &quot;Egyptian stadium&quot;[2] of about 157.5 m, his measurement turns out to be 39,690 km, an error of less than 1%.

Ptolomy was most famous for his cataloging of the stars in The Almagest, although he apparently only did some of the observations, and borrowed the rest from Hipparchus. 

In his Geographia, Ptolomy does draw maps of the ancient world. The maps look distorted as compared to modern maps, because Ptolemy&#039;s data were inaccurate. One reason is that Ptolemy estimated the size of the Earth as too small: while Eratosthenes found 700 stadia for a great circle degree on the globe, in the Geographia Ptolemy uses 500 stadia.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It wasn&#8217;t Ptolomy who preformed this experiment, it was Eratosthenes.</p>
<p>Eratosthenes knew that on the summer solstice at local noon in the Ancient Egyptian city of Swenet (known in Greek as Syene, and in the modern day as Aswan) on the Tropic of Cancer, the sun would appear at the zenith, directly overhead. He also knew, from measurement, that in his hometown of Alexandria, the angle of elevation of the Sun would be 1/50 of a full circle (7°12&#8242;) south of the zenith at the same time. Assuming that Alexandria was due north of Syene he concluded that the distance from Alexandria to Syene must be 1/50 of the total circumference of the Earth. His estimated distance between the cities was 5000 stadia (about 500 geographical miles or 950 km). He rounded the result to a final value of 700 stadia per degree, which implies a circumference of 252,000 stadia. The exact size of the stadion he used is frequently argued. The common Attic stadium was about 185 m, which would imply a circumference of 46,620 km, i.e. 16.3% too large. However, if we assume that Eratosthenes used the &#8220;Egyptian stadium&#8221;[2] of about 157.5 m, his measurement turns out to be 39,690 km, an error of less than 1%.</p>
<p>Ptolomy was most famous for his cataloging of the stars in The Almagest, although he apparently only did some of the observations, and borrowed the rest from Hipparchus. </p>
<p>In his Geographia, Ptolomy does draw maps of the ancient world. The maps look distorted as compared to modern maps, because Ptolemy&#8217;s data were inaccurate. One reason is that Ptolemy estimated the size of the Earth as too small: while Eratosthenes found 700 stadia for a great circle degree on the globe, in the Geographia Ptolemy uses 500 stadia.</p>
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		<title>By: bozh</title>
		<link>http://dissidentvoice.org/2009/02/eastern-europe-is-about-to-blow/#comment-39254</link>
		<dc:creator>bozh</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Feb 2009 19:11:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dissidentvoice.org/?p=6812#comment-39254</guid>
		<description>barry,
so it had been ptolemy who proved that the Earth is an orb.  as you say, by placing two sticks 1k miles appart an dobtaining a shadow cast by one stick and not by another.
but, as you say, the riddle is how he knew of the shadow in north egypt if he was near equator, the person who reported this did not explain.
it had to be at noon, i guess. at noon sun wld be directly above but not 1 or two K miles away.
so he must have had the stick when the sun was highest; so, it cld have been observed within an hour of high noon.  enough to prove that the orb is round.
he cld have also seen that as time elapsed the shadow was getting longer as well.
but wld we obtain an eventual  shadow in the equator as well? thnx</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>barry,<br />
so it had been ptolemy who proved that the Earth is an orb.  as you say, by placing two sticks 1k miles appart an dobtaining a shadow cast by one stick and not by another.<br />
but, as you say, the riddle is how he knew of the shadow in north egypt if he was near equator, the person who reported this did not explain.<br />
it had to be at noon, i guess. at noon sun wld be directly above but not 1 or two K miles away.<br />
so he must have had the stick when the sun was highest; so, it cld have been observed within an hour of high noon.  enough to prove that the orb is round.<br />
he cld have also seen that as time elapsed the shadow was getting longer as well.<br />
but wld we obtain an eventual  shadow in the equator as well? thnx</p>
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		<title>By: Barry</title>
		<link>http://dissidentvoice.org/2009/02/eastern-europe-is-about-to-blow/#comment-39238</link>
		<dc:creator>Barry</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Feb 2009 17:19:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dissidentvoice.org/?p=6812#comment-39238</guid>
		<description>Bozh - Well, it wasn&#039;t 3000 years ago but the ancient Greek geographer Ptolemy determined the earth was round  - in Egypt.  He did it by having shadows measured at different places at the same time.  How he got it done at the same time, I don&#039;t know.

I once told someone that the Bible says the sun rises.  The believer replied well, that&#039;s just a metaphor.  I then said that maybe the entire Bible is a metaphor.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bozh &#8211; Well, it wasn&#8217;t 3000 years ago but the ancient Greek geographer Ptolemy determined the earth was round  &#8211; in Egypt.  He did it by having shadows measured at different places at the same time.  How he got it done at the same time, I don&#8217;t know.</p>
<p>I once told someone that the Bible says the sun rises.  The believer replied well, that&#8217;s just a metaphor.  I then said that maybe the entire Bible is a metaphor.</p>
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		<title>By: bozh</title>
		<link>http://dissidentvoice.org/2009/02/eastern-europe-is-about-to-blow/#comment-39222</link>
		<dc:creator>bozh</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Feb 2009 16:00:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dissidentvoice.org/?p=6812#comment-39222</guid>
		<description>a few astromers looked at the moon and sun and saw that it was a sphere. i&#039;ve read s&#039;mwhere that an egyptian had 3K yrs ago proved that earth was round.
the bible and torah asserted that the Earth was square and flat. 

a few observers in 1800s have looked at US social structure and saw that it differed not at all from societal structure of any other empire or country.
 
but the constitution and religion asserted that US structure was fair and square.
and to this day, 90%  of USans firmly believe that US is  noble, fair, helpful, etc.
even slavery, lynching, disappearance of indigenes, numerous wars cld not as yet convince the about 90%  of USans that they are serfs and cannon fodder for the iniquitous society. thnx</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>a few astromers looked at the moon and sun and saw that it was a sphere. i&#8217;ve read s&#8217;mwhere that an egyptian had 3K yrs ago proved that earth was round.<br />
the bible and torah asserted that the Earth was square and flat. </p>
<p>a few observers in 1800s have looked at US social structure and saw that it differed not at all from societal structure of any other empire or country.</p>
<p>but the constitution and religion asserted that US structure was fair and square.<br />
and to this day, 90%  of USans firmly believe that US is  noble, fair, helpful, etc.<br />
even slavery, lynching, disappearance of indigenes, numerous wars cld not as yet convince the about 90%  of USans that they are serfs and cannon fodder for the iniquitous society. thnx</p>
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		<title>By: Barry</title>
		<link>http://dissidentvoice.org/2009/02/eastern-europe-is-about-to-blow/#comment-39219</link>
		<dc:creator>Barry</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Feb 2009 14:50:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dissidentvoice.org/?p=6812#comment-39219</guid>
		<description>Lichen - I agree that riots and chaos can turn out to be a good thing.  But collapsing societies are also an opportunity for the reactionaries as well.  That would be Germany after WWI, Russia, with the collapse of Communism where the West administered shock therapy (or Poland for that matter), so as to transfer what was rightfully the people&#039;s wealth into the hands of oligarchs and  private capital.  

But I get your point.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Lichen &#8211; I agree that riots and chaos can turn out to be a good thing.  But collapsing societies are also an opportunity for the reactionaries as well.  That would be Germany after WWI, Russia, with the collapse of Communism where the West administered shock therapy (or Poland for that matter), so as to transfer what was rightfully the people&#8217;s wealth into the hands of oligarchs and  private capital.  </p>
<p>But I get your point.</p>
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		<title>By: Dan Littauer</title>
		<link>http://dissidentvoice.org/2009/02/eastern-europe-is-about-to-blow/#comment-39210</link>
		<dc:creator>Dan Littauer</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Feb 2009 06:33:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dissidentvoice.org/?p=6812#comment-39210</guid>
		<description>Daniel, excellent article - this also explains the increasing racism in these countries - a strong correlation between economic decline (coupled with historical trends) and the popular resentment against &quot;outsiders&quot;; already certain populist politicians from the left and right are deploying what can only be described as racism.  Indeed we should be very concerned that the European politics of breaking down frontiers and trying to legislate for tolerance will become very difficult if not derailed by racism, homophobia and populist anti-EU rethoric from the left and right...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Daniel, excellent article &#8211; this also explains the increasing racism in these countries &#8211; a strong correlation between economic decline (coupled with historical trends) and the popular resentment against &#8220;outsiders&#8221;; already certain populist politicians from the left and right are deploying what can only be described as racism.  Indeed we should be very concerned that the European politics of breaking down frontiers and trying to legislate for tolerance will become very difficult if not derailed by racism, homophobia and populist anti-EU rethoric from the left and right&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Gary Lapon</title>
		<link>http://dissidentvoice.org/2009/02/eastern-europe-is-about-to-blow/#comment-39180</link>
		<dc:creator>Gary Lapon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Feb 2009 21:54:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dissidentvoice.org/?p=6812#comment-39180</guid>
		<description>The character of the uprising is pretty important.  Social upheaval can lead to progressive or even revolutionary change, but it can also be deeply reaction (see Nazi Germany, draft riots during the US Civil War, etc.).  We need to build revolutionary organization to harness and focus this anger and channel it to the left, not the right.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The character of the uprising is pretty important.  Social upheaval can lead to progressive or even revolutionary change, but it can also be deeply reaction (see Nazi Germany, draft riots during the US Civil War, etc.).  We need to build revolutionary organization to harness and focus this anger and channel it to the left, not the right.</p>
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		<title>By: Tree</title>
		<link>http://dissidentvoice.org/2009/02/eastern-europe-is-about-to-blow/#comment-39160</link>
		<dc:creator>Tree</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Feb 2009 16:45:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dissidentvoice.org/?p=6812#comment-39160</guid>
		<description>Good argument, lichen.  I&#039;m happy to see you don&#039;t resort to sweeping generalizations and black and white thinking.  Keep it up.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good argument, lichen.  I&#8217;m happy to see you don&#8217;t resort to sweeping generalizations and black and white thinking.  Keep it up.</p>
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		<title>By: lichen</title>
		<link>http://dissidentvoice.org/2009/02/eastern-europe-is-about-to-blow/#comment-39103</link>
		<dc:creator>lichen</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Feb 2009 21:08:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dissidentvoice.org/?p=6812#comment-39103</guid>
		<description>Daniel, why don&#039;t you go to Argentina, where the citizens collapsed the government and forced seven consecutive presidents to flee the country, and where they ended up with better lives afterwards.  Why don&#039;t you go to Bolivia where revolts and rebellions led to massive social movements that put a new government and then constitution in place.    Why don&#039;t you go to the 1930&#039;s America, where the social upheaval, general strikes, and militancy of the social movements forced roosevolt to make the new deal to prevent a revolution.  Social upheaval, riots, strikes, rebellions and the like are good, and have brought all of the good changes that have come to the world.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Daniel, why don&#8217;t you go to Argentina, where the citizens collapsed the government and forced seven consecutive presidents to flee the country, and where they ended up with better lives afterwards.  Why don&#8217;t you go to Bolivia where revolts and rebellions led to massive social movements that put a new government and then constitution in place.    Why don&#8217;t you go to the 1930&#8242;s America, where the social upheaval, general strikes, and militancy of the social movements forced roosevolt to make the new deal to prevent a revolution.  Social upheaval, riots, strikes, rebellions and the like are good, and have brought all of the good changes that have come to the world.</p>
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		<title>By: Daniel Gerber</title>
		<link>http://dissidentvoice.org/2009/02/eastern-europe-is-about-to-blow/#comment-39098</link>
		<dc:creator>Daniel Gerber</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Feb 2009 19:55:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dissidentvoice.org/?p=6812#comment-39098</guid>
		<description>Lichen - How about you visit Mogadishu, or other places where government authority has collapsed years ago, and see for yourself how well chaos works</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Lichen &#8211; How about you visit Mogadishu, or other places where government authority has collapsed years ago, and see for yourself how well chaos works</p>
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		<title>By: Tree</title>
		<link>http://dissidentvoice.org/2009/02/eastern-europe-is-about-to-blow/#comment-39097</link>
		<dc:creator>Tree</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Feb 2009 19:53:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dissidentvoice.org/?p=6812#comment-39097</guid>
		<description>Germany reportedly ready to shore up IMF if needed

By William L. Watts, MarketWatch
Last update: 1:10 p.m. EST Feb. 19, 2009
LONDON (MarketWatch) -- Germany is willing to shore up the International Monetary Fund if it becomes necessary to do so, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said Thursday, according to news reports.
The remarks, at a Berlin news conference with European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso, come amid rising hopes that the German government will lead European Union efforts to support troubled economies in Central and Eastern Europe. 
&quot;Germany will not refuse to (financially) support the IMF if necessary, &quot; Merkel said. 
Merkel also praised the region participating in the single currency as &quot;strong&quot; and said it &quot;has proven its worth in the crisis.&quot; 
However, she reportedly declined to say whether Germany, with the largest economy in Europe, would come to the aid of euro-zone nations under severe fiscal stress. 
German Finance Minister Peer Steinbrueck this week dismissed as &quot;absurd&quot; any speculation that fiscal strains within the euro zone could lead to an exit by any of the single currency&#039;s 16 members. 
Steinbrueck, in comments repeated on Wednesday, said euro-zone countries would likely have to come to the aid of other troubled members. 
The consequences of a euro-zone breakup would be too far-reaching, Steinbrueck said Wednesday, according to Dow Jones Newswires. 
&quot;Could you imagine anyone would be wiling to put up with this?&quot; he said. 
Steinbrueck&#039;s remarks followed a further widening of government bond yield spreads, with markets demanding a higher premium for lending to governments such as Ireland that are under severe fiscal strain. The cost of insuring against default on sovereign debt issued by Ireland soared to record levels in recent days. See earlier story. 
Easing worries about strains in the euro zone helped contribute to a rebound in the euro in Thursday&#039;s foreign-exchange dealings, traders said. The single currency changed hands at $1.2689 versus the U.S. dollar, up from $1.2532 in North American trading late Wednesday. See Currencies.  
William L. Watts is a reporter for MarketWatch in London.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Germany reportedly ready to shore up IMF if needed</p>
<p>By William L. Watts, MarketWatch<br />
Last update: 1:10 p.m. EST Feb. 19, 2009<br />
LONDON (MarketWatch) &#8212; Germany is willing to shore up the International Monetary Fund if it becomes necessary to do so, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said Thursday, according to news reports.<br />
The remarks, at a Berlin news conference with European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso, come amid rising hopes that the German government will lead European Union efforts to support troubled economies in Central and Eastern Europe.<br />
&#8220;Germany will not refuse to (financially) support the IMF if necessary, &#8221; Merkel said.<br />
Merkel also praised the region participating in the single currency as &#8220;strong&#8221; and said it &#8220;has proven its worth in the crisis.&#8221;<br />
However, she reportedly declined to say whether Germany, with the largest economy in Europe, would come to the aid of euro-zone nations under severe fiscal stress.<br />
German Finance Minister Peer Steinbrueck this week dismissed as &#8220;absurd&#8221; any speculation that fiscal strains within the euro zone could lead to an exit by any of the single currency&#8217;s 16 members.<br />
Steinbrueck, in comments repeated on Wednesday, said euro-zone countries would likely have to come to the aid of other troubled members.<br />
The consequences of a euro-zone breakup would be too far-reaching, Steinbrueck said Wednesday, according to Dow Jones Newswires.<br />
&#8220;Could you imagine anyone would be wiling to put up with this?&#8221; he said.<br />
Steinbrueck&#8217;s remarks followed a further widening of government bond yield spreads, with markets demanding a higher premium for lending to governments such as Ireland that are under severe fiscal strain. The cost of insuring against default on sovereign debt issued by Ireland soared to record levels in recent days. See earlier story.<br />
Easing worries about strains in the euro zone helped contribute to a rebound in the euro in Thursday&#8217;s foreign-exchange dealings, traders said. The single currency changed hands at $1.2689 versus the U.S. dollar, up from $1.2532 in North American trading late Wednesday. See Currencies.<br />
William L. Watts is a reporter for MarketWatch in London.</p>
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		<title>By: lichen</title>
		<link>http://dissidentvoice.org/2009/02/eastern-europe-is-about-to-blow/#comment-39088</link>
		<dc:creator>lichen</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Feb 2009 17:57:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dissidentvoice.org/?p=6812#comment-39088</guid>
		<description>Political upheaval is good; it can lead to good places, better places; riots are good, they can destroy stupid things and intimidate right-wing governments and multinationals.  I&#039;m glad, glad, glad they are happening, and I hope Geithner does nothing.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Political upheaval is good; it can lead to good places, better places; riots are good, they can destroy stupid things and intimidate right-wing governments and multinationals.  I&#8217;m glad, glad, glad they are happening, and I hope Geithner does nothing.</p>
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		<title>By: Daniel Gerber</title>
		<link>http://dissidentvoice.org/2009/02/eastern-europe-is-about-to-blow/#comment-39082</link>
		<dc:creator>Daniel Gerber</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Feb 2009 17:07:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dissidentvoice.org/?p=6812#comment-39082</guid>
		<description>Unfortunately like the US and Britain, most eastern European countries have run current account deficits for nearly 2 decades.   They are facing similar challenges than we are, minus the housing crisis.  The IMF has already lent to Hungary, Latvia and Ukrain other countries will follow.    The EURO area still has considerable leeway in lowering interest rates, contrary to the Fed and the Bank of England.  Budget deficits in spite of some bailouts and stimulus, remain between less than 3% (as prescribed by Mastrich) to 4.5%, well below the project US deficit.  Bailout packages are being discussed in all the large European economies.   Unlike the US, most of the Eastern European countries do not have to simultaneously tackle ever increasing health care costs as a share of GDP.   They do however, as much of the world does, have a looming crisis of unfunded pension liabilities.  All in all, there are problems, the financial crisis will stem consumer demand and in all likelihood reduce current account deficits.  Some Banks will go under, some Banks will get support, just as it has been in the US.   

Your figures on corporate debt simply represent a different way of financing of corporate expansion in Europe relative to the US.  In the US, typically extra corporate financing is sought in the stock market by issuing more stock,  while in Europe the thight relationships with Banks tend to lead to more borrowing.  It has little implications on how efficient operations are and often, since Banks are more interested in longer term gains instead of short term stock prices, many European companies can actually affortd to take a much longer view on investing.    Some argue this leads ot better decision making at the management level.

The problems are worldwide and no doubt Eastern Europe will suffer and some corrections will take place, but it is doubtful that it would lead to another world war in Europe.  There is much more worry about dropping governement revenues in oil producing countries where budget revenues have collapsed by 50%  in some cases, and unfortunately this leads back to areas in the world that have been historically unstable,  Middle East, the Former Soviet Union, and the poorest and most inequitable part of the world, Africa.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Unfortunately like the US and Britain, most eastern European countries have run current account deficits for nearly 2 decades.   They are facing similar challenges than we are, minus the housing crisis.  The IMF has already lent to Hungary, Latvia and Ukrain other countries will follow.    The EURO area still has considerable leeway in lowering interest rates, contrary to the Fed and the Bank of England.  Budget deficits in spite of some bailouts and stimulus, remain between less than 3% (as prescribed by Mastrich) to 4.5%, well below the project US deficit.  Bailout packages are being discussed in all the large European economies.   Unlike the US, most of the Eastern European countries do not have to simultaneously tackle ever increasing health care costs as a share of GDP.   They do however, as much of the world does, have a looming crisis of unfunded pension liabilities.  All in all, there are problems, the financial crisis will stem consumer demand and in all likelihood reduce current account deficits.  Some Banks will go under, some Banks will get support, just as it has been in the US.   </p>
<p>Your figures on corporate debt simply represent a different way of financing of corporate expansion in Europe relative to the US.  In the US, typically extra corporate financing is sought in the stock market by issuing more stock,  while in Europe the thight relationships with Banks tend to lead to more borrowing.  It has little implications on how efficient operations are and often, since Banks are more interested in longer term gains instead of short term stock prices, many European companies can actually affortd to take a much longer view on investing.    Some argue this leads ot better decision making at the management level.</p>
<p>The problems are worldwide and no doubt Eastern Europe will suffer and some corrections will take place, but it is doubtful that it would lead to another world war in Europe.  There is much more worry about dropping governement revenues in oil producing countries where budget revenues have collapsed by 50%  in some cases, and unfortunately this leads back to areas in the world that have been historically unstable,  Middle East, the Former Soviet Union, and the poorest and most inequitable part of the world, Africa.</p>
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